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But the note cautioned against treating AI as an “immediate fiscal windfall.” Before productivity fully kicks in, governments face upfront costs that could strain budgets already burdened by post-pandemic debt. Government spending explicitly earmarked for AI remains modest—often only a fraction of a percent of GDP—but a sea of hidden costs could make the transition much more difficult for budgets to handle.
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I suspect rather strongly that premodern people, too, experienced the physical world more acutely than I do, simply because my brain has been stewing in dopamine-spiking stimuli for four decades now, rarely pausing to touch the proverbial grass. Don’t get me wrong: I like the outdoors a lot. But my waking existence is spent mostly indoors in highly artificial spaces, whereas humans have typically spent the vast majority of their time outdoors in nature. Consider my ancestors, who, as best I can tell, were primarily illiterate peasants and smallhold farmers. They spent a significant proportion of their waking hours literally touching grass.